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26 August 2008 @ 11:23 am
 

Forex Exchange Morning Report

News And Views

USD traded softer to start the week as US stock prices tumbled and despite better than expected housing sales data, though a late squeeze trimmed losses and London's holiday of course ensured poor liquidity. Financial stocks were mostly weak but with some striking exceptions. Lehman Bros sat 5% lower in late trade after Korea's Financial Services Commission said a state-owned institution such as KDB should be cautious about foreign acquisitions. The failure of another small bank, Kansas-based Columbian Bank, also unnerved investors. But the GSEs posted gains well over 10% in the final hour on Wall St. The New Zealand dollar was rebuffed several times around 0.7090 and then looked soggy around 0.7040/45.
AUD/USD extended its late Asia bounce as far as 0.8690 amid broad USD selling but retreated to 0.8630/35.
EUR/USD rallied through 1.4800 on several occasions but could not extend, slipping to a more comfortable 1.4750.
USD/JPY set a firmer direction than other major pairs, sliding from near 110.00 in London to as low as 109.05 and recovering only modestly thereafter.
 
 
 

Dollar Strength At The Asian Open, Again


Overall, the dollar posted some strong gains at the beginning of the Asian session, replicating the move made yesterday. The dollar strength came on a strong volume, suggesting the moves may hold very well.


The Euro (Eur/Usd) found some sellers early in the Asian session, dropping almost 60 pips to TheLFB S1. In the last day of trading, the euro declined 40 pips, although it has traded much lower for some time. The Euro-area has a busy schedule ahead and volatility can be expected.


The Pound (Gbp/Usd) reached a 180 pips range in the past day, even though, the pair closed the day forming a doji star. The opening of the new session brought more selling for the pound, falling 70 pips during the opening bell of the Asian session. The pair is trading now near a two year low.


The Aussie (Aud/Usd) found the strength to break under the 0.86 support line, dropping at one point over 100 pips to TheLFB S2. The move came on a very strong volume, similar to the one from the night before, when the pair dropped another 70 pips. The relative strength index sits in the 25.00 area.


The Yen (Usd/Yen) advanced 30 pips in the Asian session, having a quick test at the neutral pivot point. Yesterday, the negative European and US equity markets made the yen decline more than 100 pips, bouncing off at one time from TheLFB S1.

 
 
26 August 2008 @ 11:00 am

Financial and Economic News and Comments

US & Canada

US existing home sales increased a more-than-expected 3.1% m/m in July to a 5 million annual rate, the highest since February, from 4.85 million in June, data from the National Association of Realtors showed. Existing home sales fell 13.2% y/y. Despite the monthly sales increase, home inventories expanded 3.9% m/m in July to a record-high 4.67 million available for sale. Sales increased in the Northeast, Midwest, and West, but fell slightly in the South. By type of home, sales were up for both single-family units and condos/coops. The median home price was $212,400 in July, down slightly from June and off 7.1% y/y. Single-family home prices fell 7.7% y/y. The months' supply of existing homes at the current sales rate rose to 11.2 in July from 11.1 in June; however, all of the increase was due to condos/coops. The months' supply of single-family homes declined to 10.6 from June's 11.0. Overall, the figures indicate the US housing slump is far from over and home prices are likely to drop further in the next quarters.
 
 
26 August 2008 @ 08:44 am

Trade Desk Thoughts - Japan CSPI


Actual 1.3%, Expected 1.4%, Previous 1.2%
Release Explanation: The release measure the change in the price of services which are purchased by corporations. It is considered a leading indicator of consumer inflation because when corporations pay more for their services they usually pass on the extra costs to the consumer.
Trade Desk Thoughts: The reading for the Japanese corporate services price index rose to 1.3 percent in the year to July. This is slightly below analysts' expectations of 1.4 percent, but was higher than the 1.2 percent increase seen in June.
Forex Technical Reaction: In the early part of Asian trading the yen saw some minor strength which has pushed the pair to test its 20 day SMA at 109.25 as support.
 
 
 
 

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